Thursday, March 15, 2012

Hungry Time



HUNGER GAMES won't be opening until *next* Friday, but you have to know the buzz machine will be going full steam. Maybe if we're lucky they'll let Woody Harrellson do interviews! And maybe he can explain how something that started as a straight up critique of media culture is now quite un-ironically a giant-ass media event.. Hello!

I'm thinking irony-be-damned -- the HSX price of HGAME will climb steadily before the open, and will be over H$320 by the end of trading next Thurdsay (3/22).

The day trade? Jennifer Lawrence has been running point on the media blitz.. she's currently trading at H$63.34. I say there's still room for her to climb and she gets over H$64 by end of day tomorrow.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Mi Casa Es Su Casa




Ha! I bet you didn't know that a Will Ferrell movie was opening this weekend.

It looks like CASA DE MI PADRE has become this goofy Funny-or-Die extended video that Lionsgate is only going to trust with 350 theatres (as opposed to 21 JUMP STREET's 3000 theatres) this weekend. So my guess is that this little Mexican cheeseball will land somewhere in the Ferrell canon between SEMI-PRO and EVERYTHING MUST GO, with a per-theatre between $3.5k and $5k and an opening weekend at around $1.5m.. Tacking on another couple days, the question is: can this one get to $2m by next Wednesday night? Will the interwebs people come out? It will be work.. but claro que si!

And daytrading on Ferrell? Can we get at least a little bump? Porque non, senor?

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Working It For Jump Street





Kicking off the March game, I'd like to point out that Mr. Jonah Hill -- the lithe and lumpy one on the bottom of the classic VF pic above -- is going to be everywhere. Will this impact his Hollywood Stock Exchange value this week?

Let's see, he was last night on Conan, and tonight (Tuesday 3/13) he'll be on Leno. Tomorrow (Wednesday 3/14) he'll be on Ellen in the afternoon and then Jimmy Kimmel at night. TOO MUCH WHALE-BOY!!!

I totally respect a guy out there hustling, but come on. I just don't think the cute chubby Jewish dumpling thing has enough legs for this much air-time. I haven't seen any real re-invention except raw Leno-esque ambition. Sweet Jebus..

On the daytrade front -- JHILL is at H$70.29 right now. I say Hill trades lower on Tuesday and Wednesday as a result of his overexposure.

On the movie performance front, much the same. 21 Jump Street is a Blockbuster? Really? $37.5m is what InTrade is predicting but I'm thinking lower.. JUST A TEENIE BIT LOWER!!! but lower..

Monday, March 5, 2012

Big D's February Fame Game Recap

BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME


BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME

For winners, check the CIRCLE OF TRIUMPH widget in the sidebar.. Congrats though to: Anglea Martin and Bryan Forst (the top non-bot player). Your cheques are in the mail!

Here's what happened to last week's stories:

Angelina's Right Leg
Wow,what a race. I was following along, clicking her twitter page over and over again.. Sunday night was 47,401..  Monday morning 8a 47,506.. Damn! it was close, but this leg isn't going to make it to 50k on time. I LOSE!

Brad Vs George
George had just a single day. A single day of dominance in the last.. FOREVER. But it didn't last until Monday. Damn, George. You need another stunt. I LOSE.

Project X Fail
Ha, didn't happen. Looks like Project X came in around expectations in the low 20's. I LOSE that one..

Over La Lohan
It turns out HSX trades on the weekends, but Monday morning doesn't help LLOHA stock. Flat like an lady's Aston Martin as we used to say in college. Her March 3 price was H$ 10.04, today she's down to $H 9.96 todaay and not moving. I WIN that one.

Loraxic Park
Boom goes the professional prediction machines! And cha-ching for Big D. Solid performance by The Lorax and solid WIN FOR ME -- well above $48m -- that's right, $70m+!

Friday, March 2, 2012

Lorax, Triumph Of Industrialization

BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME


BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME

The big movie open of March is coming this weekend -- The Lorax! Danny DeVito might get lucky this year!

For a slightly more technical analysis try the HSX March movie opening numbers.

I'm bullish on this little movie even though it struggled to get into the 50s for a RottenTomatoes score but I'm going to say that this movie performs past even the wildest (FilmGo) expectatations -- yep, I think this weekend's open will be over $48m.

This is the last bet in flimsily-named February Fame Game -- make it count! Will have everything racked up on Monday and we'll see who won and lost..

Thursday, March 1, 2012

Cheeks Of Steel

BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME


BIG D'S FEBRUARY FAME GAME

Ah, what to do with La Lohan.. God bless she seems to be *trying* to grow up, kind of. And she's hosting SNL this weekend as her latest half-hearted poke at being her idea of normal.

I don't know. Check out these teasers for Saturday's show. Tell me if she's not just a little scary here -- certainly not Micheal Jackson or Mel Gibson cringey-crazy, but she's certainly trending kookoo.

So this is her fresh start? I hate to be a grumpy Gus but I think not -- my bet is:  her HSX stock LLOHA has been trickling upward of H$10 in anticipation of this weekend but I say that it opens Monday morning the same or lower than her Friday afternoon close after everyone's had a time to have a good look at this comeback kickoff.